CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ENCE#112 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNoir Verse pick
60%37%
Noir Verse · 6 mapsedge Noir Verse +23%ENCE · 15 maps
NukeENCE pick
50%56%
Noir Verse · 8 mapsedge ENCE +6%ENCE · 12 maps
AncientENCE ban
42%46%
Noir Verse · 8 mapsnearly even -4%ENCE · 9 maps
AnubisNoir Verse ban
40%70%
Noir Verse · 6 mapsedge ENCE +30%ENCE · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
44%63%
Noir Verse · 5 mapsedge ENCE +19%ENCE · 4 maps
Dust2ENCE ban
42%40%
Noir Verse · 8 mapsnearly even +2%ENCE · 1 map
InfernoNoir Verse ban
40%60%
Noir Verse · 1 mapedge ENCE +20%ENCE · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Inferno
2. BanENCE remove Dust2
3. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
4. PickENCE take Nuke
5. BanENCE remove Ancient
6. BanNoir Verse remove Anubis
DeciderCache (44% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
Noir Verse 41%ENCE 59%
The model gave 59% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Noir Verse 74%ENCE 26%
The model gave 74% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
Noir Verse 22%ENCE 78%
The model gave 78% on ENCE — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteENCE · 57%
Series resultNoir Verse 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3