CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#148 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
50%59%
Noir Verse · 16 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +9%ex-Zero Tenacity · 13 maps
CacheNoir Verse pick
53%76%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +23%ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
47%60%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
56%60%
Noir Verse · 14 mapsnearly even -4%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
47%55%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +8%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
DefaultNoir Verse ban
36%55%
Noir Verse · 7 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +19%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
40%50%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickNoir Verse take Cache
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
6. BanNoir Verse remove Default
DeciderMirage (56% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct5:13
Noir Verse 24%ex-Zero Tenacity 76%
The model gave 76% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
Noir Verse 48%ex-Zero Tenacity 52%
The model gave 52% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Noir Verse 41%ex-Zero Tenacity 59%
The model gave 59% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 65%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3