CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#148 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HAVU#116 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeNoir Verse ban
53%71%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge HAVU +18%HAVU · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
63%60%
Noir Verse · 12 mapsnearly even +3%HAVU · 6 maps
Dust2HAVU ban
47%38%
Noir Verse · 13 mapsedge Noir Verse +9%HAVU · 4 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
50%50%
Noir Verse · 10 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 4 maps
CacheNoir Verse pick
58%25%
Noir Verse · 8 mapsedge Noir Verse +33%HAVU · 4 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
43%40%
Noir Verse · 10 mapsnearly even +3%HAVU · 1 map
DefaultHAVU pick
40%60%
Noir Verse · 6 mapsedge HAVU +20%HAVU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
2. BanHAVU remove Anubis
3. PickNoir Verse take Cache
4. PickHAVU take Default
5. BanHAVU remove Dust2
6. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (63% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
Noir Verse 83%HAVU 17%
The model gave 83% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by HAVU.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
Noir Verse 29%HAVU 71%
The model gave 71% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 55%
Series resultHAVU 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2