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CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#148 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Phantom Academy#182 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePhantom Academy pick
60%71%
Noir Verse · 16 mapsedge Phantom Academy +11%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
Dust2Phantom Academy ban
45%57%
Noir Verse · 18 mapsedge Phantom Academy +12%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
CacheNoir Verse pick
50%30%
Noir Verse · 12 mapsedge Noir Verse +20%Phantom Academy · 6 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
40%50%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge Phantom Academy +10%Phantom Academy · 6 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
47%56%
Noir Verse · 11 mapsedge Phantom Academy +9%Phantom Academy · 5 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
44%50%
Noir Verse · 12 mapsedge Phantom Academy +6%Phantom Academy · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
36%43%
Noir Verse · 7 mapsedge Phantom Academy +7%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
3. PickNoir Verse take Cache
4. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Dust2
6. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (36% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed0:13
Noir Verse 72%Phantom Academy 28%
The model gave 72% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
Noir Verse 37%Phantom Academy 63%
The model gave 63% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Anubisprediction missed13:6
Noir Verse 44%Phantom Academy 56%
The model gave 56% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 51%
Series resultNoir Verse 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3