LeonBet Masters Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · win 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisNordic Partners pick
38%50%
Nordic Partners · 9 mapsedge REVENIX +12%REVENIX · 4 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
33%30%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsnearly even +3%REVENIX · 6 maps
Dust2Nordic Partners ban
29%22%
Nordic Partners · 3 mapsedge Nordic Partners +7%REVENIX · 5 maps
Miragepossible decider
63%33%
Nordic Partners · 4 mapsedge Nordic Partners +30%REVENIX · 2 maps
CacheREVENIX pick
38%50%
Nordic Partners · 4 mapsedge REVENIX +12%REVENIX · 0 maps
NukeREVENIX ban
50%50%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsnearly even +0%REVENIX · 2 maps
InfernoREVENIX ban
33%50%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsedge REVENIX +17%REVENIX · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
2. BanREVENIX remove Inferno
3. PickNordic Partners take Anubis
4. PickREVENIX take Cache
5. BanREVENIX remove Nuke
6. BanNordic Partners remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (63% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
Nordic Partners 75%REVENIX 25%
The model gave 75% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by REVENIX.
Anubisprediction missed13:5
Nordic Partners 41%REVENIX 59%
The model gave 59% on REVENIX — the map was taken by Nordic Partners.
Nukeprediction correct13:2
Nordic Partners 50%REVENIX 50%
The model gave 50% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by Nordic Partners.
Model check result
Model favoriteNordic Partners · 61%
Series resultNordic Partners 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3