LeonBet Masters Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · win 16:12series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 16:12
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubispossible decider
42%43%
Nordic Partners · 8 mapsnearly even -1%REVENIX · 3 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
33%22%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsedge Nordic Partners +11%REVENIX · 5 maps
Dust2REVENIX ban
29%25%
Nordic Partners · 3 mapsnearly even +4%REVENIX · 4 maps
CacheNordic Partners ban
38%50%
Nordic Partners · 4 mapsedge REVENIX +12%REVENIX · 0 maps
NukeNordic Partners ban
50%50%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsnearly even +0%REVENIX · 2 maps
MirageREVENIX ban
67%40%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsedge Nordic Partners +27%REVENIX · 1 map
InfernoREVENIX ban
33%50%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsedge REVENIX +17%REVENIX · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
2. BanREVENIX remove Inferno
3. BanNordic Partners remove Nuke
4. BanREVENIX remove Dust2
5. BanNordic Partners remove Cache
6. BanREVENIX remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (42% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct16:12
Nordic Partners 75%REVENIX 25%
The model gave 75% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by Nordic Partners.
Model check result
Model favoriteNordic Partners · 52%
Series resultNordic Partners 16:12
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1