CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
IIMHOWeRGOATwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNordic Valor ban
40%50%
Nordic Valor · 1 mapedge IMHOWeRGOAT +10%IMHOWeRGOAT · 0 maps
MirageIMHOWeRGOAT ban
40%50%
Nordic Valor · 1 mapedge IMHOWeRGOAT +10%IMHOWeRGOAT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNordic Valor remove Ancient
2. BanIMHOWeRGOAT remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
Nordic Valor 37%IMHOWeRGOAT 63%
The model gave 63% on IMHOWeRGOAT — the map was taken by IMHOWeRGOAT.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Nordic Valor 50%IMHOWeRGOAT 50%
The model gave 50% on Nordic Valor — the map was taken by IMHOWeRGOAT.
Model check result
Model favoriteIMHOWeRGOAT · 59%
Series resultIMHOWeRGOAT 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2