FRAG 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
NRG#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LAG#95 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
NRG 47%LAG 53%
The model gave 53% on LAG — the map was taken by NRG.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
NRG 53%LAG 47%
The model gave 53% on NRG — the map was taken by NRG.
Model check result
Model favoriteNRG · 75%
Series resultNRG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2