CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
NRG#30 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNRG ban
50%63%
NRG · 2 mapsedge MOUZ +13%MOUZ · 4 maps
NukeMOUZ pick
33%63%
NRG · 2 mapsedge MOUZ +30%MOUZ · 4 maps
AncientMOUZ ban
43%50%
NRG · 3 mapsedge MOUZ +7%MOUZ · 2 maps
MirageNRG pick
60%57%
NRG · 1 mapnearly even +3%MOUZ · 3 maps
Dust2NRG ban
50%57%
NRG · 0 mapsedge MOUZ +7%MOUZ · 3 maps
OverpassMOUZ ban
33%50%
NRG · 2 mapsedge MOUZ +17%MOUZ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNRG remove Dust2
2. BanMOUZ remove Ancient
3. PickNRG take Mirage
4. PickMOUZ take Nuke
5. BanMOUZ remove Overpass
6. BanNRG remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
NRG 46%MOUZ 54%
The model gave 54% on MOUZ — the map was taken by NRG.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
NRG 21%MOUZ 79%
The model gave 79% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
NRG 53%MOUZ 47%
The model gave 53% on NRG — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 76%
Series resultMOUZ 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3