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GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BET-M#65 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
54%36%
Nuclear TigeRES · 9 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +18%BET-M · 10 maps
NukeNuclear TigeRES ban
50%45%
Nuclear TigeRES · 12 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +5%BET-M · 7 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
67%63%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsnearly even +4%BET-M · 4 maps
AncientBET-M ban
57%22%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +35%BET-M · 5 maps
InfernoBET-M pick
71%54%
Nuclear TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%BET-M · 9 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
38%45%
Nuclear TigeRES · 4 mapsedge BET-M +7%BET-M · 7 maps
CacheBET-M ban
67%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 2 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanBET-M remove Ancient
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. PickBET-M take Inferno
5. BanBET-M remove Cache
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (54% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:14
Nuclear TigeRES 65%BET-M 35%
The model gave 65% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
Nuclear TigeRES 84%BET-M 16%
The model gave 84% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 63%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2