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PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#45 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BET-M#83 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
68%17%
Nuclear TigeRES · 18 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +51%BET-M · 8 maps
Dust2Nuclear TigeRES ban
39%38%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsnearly even +1%BET-M · 12 maps
AnubisBET-M ban
55%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 16 mapsedge BET-M +5%BET-M · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%53%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsnearly even -3%BET-M · 11 maps
InfernoBET-M pick
75%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 8 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +15%BET-M · 11 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
20%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge BET-M +30%BET-M · 8 maps
CacheBET-M ban
71%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +21%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanBET-M remove Cache
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
4. PickBET-M take Inferno
5. BanBET-M remove Anubis
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (50% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Nuclear TigeRES 92%BET-M 8%
The model gave 92% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Nuclear TigeRES 44%BET-M 56%
The model gave 56% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
Nuclear TigeRES 67%BET-M 33%
The model gave 67% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 72%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3