NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Nuclear TigeRES ban
56%68%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +12%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 15 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
50%69%
Nuclear TigeRES · 12 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +19%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 12 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
75%64%
Nuclear TigeRES · 16 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +11%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 7 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
50%46%
Nuclear TigeRES · 12 mapsnearly even +4%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 9 maps
MirageCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
55%55%
Nuclear TigeRES · 7 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%54%
Nuclear TigeRES · 2 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +13%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 9 maps
DefaultNuclear TigeRES ban
50%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +10%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Default
2. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Ancient
5. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Mirage
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (67% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
Nuclear TigeRES 29%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 71%
The model gave 71% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Infernoprediction correct22:20
Nuclear TigeRES 66%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 34%
The model gave 66% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 57%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2