WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
67%44%
Nuclear TigeRES · 20 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +23%CYBERSHOKE · 14 maps
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
41%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 18 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +9%CYBERSHOKE · 14 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
52%43%
Nuclear TigeRES · 17 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +9%CYBERSHOKE · 3 maps
NukeNuclear TigeRES ban
47%55%
Nuclear TigeRES · 11 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +8%CYBERSHOKE · 7 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
20%67%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +47%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
InfernoCYBERSHOKE ban
81%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 12 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +31%CYBERSHOKE · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
56%57%
Nuclear TigeRES · 5 mapsnearly even -1%CYBERSHOKE · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Inferno
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Nuke
DeciderCache (56% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Nuclear TigeRES 38%CYBERSHOKE 62%
The model gave 62% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
Nuclear TigeRES 62%CYBERSHOKE 38%
The model gave 62% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
Nuclear TigeRES 71%CYBERSHOKE 29%
The model gave 71% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 81%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3