StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNuclear TigeRES ban
50%67%
Nuclear TigeRES · 12 mapsedge Echo +17%Echo · 5 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
78%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +28%Echo · 2 maps
NukeEcho pick
53%75%
Nuclear TigeRES · 11 mapsedge Echo +22%Echo · 4 maps
Dust2Echo ban
53%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Echo · 0 maps
MirageEcho ban
60%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +10%Echo · 4 maps
OverpassNuclear TigeRES ban
50%40%
Nuclear TigeRES · 0 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +10%Echo · 6 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%33%
Nuclear TigeRES · 2 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +34%Echo · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Overpass
2. BanEcho remove Dust2
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. PickEcho take Nuke
5. BanEcho remove Mirage
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (67% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct5:13
Nuclear TigeRES 25%Echo 75%
The model gave 75% on Echo — the map was taken by Echo.
Anubisprediction missed3:13
Nuclear TigeRES 80%Echo 20%
The model gave 80% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Echo.
Model check result
Model favoriteEcho · 52%
Series resultEcho 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2