PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#53 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
50%55%
Nuclear TigeRES · 26 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 47 maps
Anubispossible decider
56%71%
Nuclear TigeRES · 23 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +15%ex-RUSTEC · 31 map
NukeNuclear TigeRES ban
44%51%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%ex-RUSTEC · 37 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
68%62%
Nuclear TigeRES · 24 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +6%ex-RUSTEC · 9 maps
InfernoNuclear TigeRES pick
71%55%
Nuclear TigeRES · 17 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +16%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
30%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +20%ex-RUSTEC · 22 maps
Cacheex-RUSTEC ban
60%47%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +13%ex-RUSTEC · 15 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Inferno
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Cache
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (56% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Nuclear TigeRES 40%ex-RUSTEC 60%
The model gave 60% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Nuclear TigeRES 60%ex-RUSTEC 40%
The model gave 60% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 50%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2