IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#45 in the world · win 1:0series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GamerLegion#19 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGamerLegion pick
65%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 13 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +15%GamerLegion · 8 maps
NukeNuclear TigeRES ban
50%30%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +20%GamerLegion · 6 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
61%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +11%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
57%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +7%GamerLegion · 2 maps
InfernoGamerLegion ban
78%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 5 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +28%GamerLegion · 4 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
33%43%
Nuclear TigeRES · 5 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%GamerLegion · 3 maps
Cachepossible decider
71%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +21%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. PickGamerLegion take Ancient
5. BanGamerLegion remove Inferno
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Nuke
DeciderCache (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Nuclear TigeRES 50%GamerLegion 50%
The model gave 50% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 73%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1