CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
ODDIK#140 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Grêmio#201 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ODDIK pick
50%50%
ODDIK · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Grêmio · 6 maps
MirageGrêmio ban
69%38%
ODDIK · 9 mapsedge ODDIK +31%Grêmio · 4 maps
CacheODDIK ban
56%43%
ODDIK · 5 mapsedge ODDIK +13%Grêmio · 3 maps
InfernoODDIK ban
50%55%
ODDIK · 0 mapsedge Grêmio +5%Grêmio · 7 maps
NukeGrêmio pick
75%43%
ODDIK · 4 mapsedge ODDIK +32%Grêmio · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%40%
ODDIK · 4 mapsedge ODDIK +10%Grêmio · 1 map
AnubisGrêmio ban
63%50%
ODDIK · 4 mapsedge ODDIK +13%Grêmio · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanODDIK remove Inferno
2. BanGrêmio remove Anubis
3. PickODDIK take Dust2
4. PickGrêmio take Nuke
5. BanGrêmio remove Mirage
6. BanODDIK remove Cache
DeciderAncient (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
ODDIK 63%Grêmio 37%
The model gave 63% on ODDIK — the map was taken by ODDIK.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
ODDIK 60%Grêmio 40%
The model gave 60% on ODDIK — the map was taken by ODDIK.
Model check result
Model favoriteODDIK · 60%
Series resultODDIK 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2