DFRAG Invitational 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionOCOff Chops#131 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NEXVOID#74 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNEXVOID pick
38%63%
Off Chops · 4 mapsedge NEXVOID +25%NEXVOID · 28 maps
AncientOff Chops ban
33%69%
Off Chops · 2 mapsedge NEXVOID +36%NEXVOID · 28 maps
Dust2Off Chops pick
50%42%
Off Chops · 6 mapsedge Off Chops +8%NEXVOID · 20 maps
NukeNEXVOID ban
67%50%
Off Chops · 2 mapsedge Off Chops +17%NEXVOID · 12 maps
CacheNEXVOID ban
60%40%
Off Chops · 1 mapedge Off Chops +20%NEXVOID · 6 maps
AnubisOff Chops ban
50%63%
Off Chops · 2 mapsedge NEXVOID +13%NEXVOID · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Off Chops · 0 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOff Chops remove Ancient
2. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
3. PickOff Chops take Dust2
4. PickNEXVOID take Inferno
5. BanNEXVOID remove Nuke
6. BanOff Chops remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
Off Chops 72%NEXVOID 28%
The model gave 72% on Off Chops — the map was taken by Off Chops.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
Off Chops 24%NEXVOID 76%
The model gave 76% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
Off Chops 67%NEXVOID 33%
The model gave 67% on Off Chops — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEXVOID · 76%
Series resultNEXVOID 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3