CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#148 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
69%59%
Omega · 12 mapsedge Omega +10%ex-RUSTEC · 37 maps
Nukeex-RUSTEC pick
50%50%
Omega · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ex-RUSTEC · 28 maps
AnubisOmega ban
50%67%
Omega · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 23 maps
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
60%45%
Omega · 6 mapsedge Omega +15%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
Infernopossible decider
56%44%
Omega · 5 mapsedge Omega +12%ex-RUSTEC · 14 maps
CacheOmega ban
50%47%
Omega · 4 mapsnearly even +3%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
44%60%
Omega · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +16%ex-RUSTEC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Anubis
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Nuke
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
6. BanOmega remove Cache
DeciderInferno (56% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
Omega 47%ex-RUSTEC 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Omega 64%ex-RUSTEC 36%
The model gave 64% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
Omega 35%ex-RUSTEC 65%
The model gave 65% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 62%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3