CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#138 in the world · win 2:1series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Fire Flux#100 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
58%57%
Omega · 15 mapsnearly even +1%Fire Flux · 19 maps
Miragepossible decider
55%53%
Omega · 7 mapsnearly even +2%Fire Flux · 15 maps
InfernoOmega ban
50%65%
Omega · 6 mapsedge Fire Flux +15%Fire Flux · 13 maps
AnubisOmega ban
50%68%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Fire Flux +18%Fire Flux · 18 maps
CacheFire Flux pick
50%61%
Omega · 4 mapsedge Fire Flux +11%Fire Flux · 14 maps
NukeFire Flux ban
57%50%
Omega · 3 mapsedge Omega +7%Fire Flux · 12 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
36%25%
Omega · 7 mapsedge Omega +11%Fire Flux · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Anubis
2. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. PickFire Flux take Cache
5. BanFire Flux remove Nuke
6. BanOmega remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (55% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Omega 55%Fire Flux 45%
The model gave 55% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Cacheprediction correct14:16
Omega 36%Fire Flux 64%
The model gave 64% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
Omega 51%Fire Flux 49%
The model gave 51% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteFire Flux · 70%
Series resultOmega 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3