CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#148 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
50%63%
Omega · 2 mapsedge Lavked +13%Lavked · 4 maps
NukeOmega pick
60%63%
Omega · 1 mapnearly even -3%Lavked · 4 maps
InfernoOmega ban
50%57%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Lavked +7%Lavked · 3 maps
AncientOmega ban
50%67%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Lavked +17%Lavked · 2 maps
Dust2Lavked ban
50%50%
Omega · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Lavked · 2 maps
OverpassLavked ban
40%60%
Omega · 1 mapedge Lavked +20%Lavked · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Inferno
2. BanLavked remove Overpass
3. PickOmega take Nuke
4. PickLavked take Mirage
5. BanLavked remove Dust2
6. BanOmega remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:3
Omega 44%Lavked 56%
The model gave 56% on Lavked — the map was taken by Omega.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
Omega 40%Lavked 60%
The model gave 60% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Omega 50%Lavked 50%
The model gave 50% on Omega — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 65%
Series resultLavked 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3