CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#148 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
65%50%
Omega · 13 mapsedge Omega +15%Noir Verse · 18 maps
MirageNoir Verse pick
50%61%
Omega · 6 mapsedge Noir Verse +11%Noir Verse · 19 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
40%50%
Omega · 6 mapsedge Noir Verse +10%Noir Verse · 14 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%50%
Omega · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Noir Verse · 14 maps
AnubisOmega ban
50%43%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Omega +7%Noir Verse · 17 maps
DefaultOmega ban
50%41%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Omega +9%Noir Verse · 13 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
57%50%
Omega · 3 mapsedge Omega +7%Noir Verse · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Anubis
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
6. BanOmega remove Default
DeciderCache (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
Omega 36%Noir Verse 64%
The model gave 64% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Omega.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Omega 67%Noir Verse 33%
The model gave 67% on Omega — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
Omega 40%Noir Verse 60%
The model gave 60% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 53%
Series resultNoir Verse 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3