ESEA Advanced Season 57 North America · BO3
result vs prediction
Omen#216 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Default
60%60%
Omen · 1 mapnearly even +0%Xiaoma · 1 map
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:8
Omen 53%Xiaoma 47%
The model gave 53% on Omen — the map was taken by Omen.
Overpassprediction missed13:10
Omen 47%Xiaoma 53%
The model gave 53% on Xiaoma — the map was taken by Omen.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmen · 50%
Series resultOmen 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2