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Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oramond#119 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
38%62%
Oramond · 9 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +24%CYBERSHOKE · 9 maps
MirageOramond pick
67%50%
Oramond · 8 mapsedge Oramond +17%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
AncientOramond ban
57%62%
Oramond · 3 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +5%CYBERSHOKE · 9 maps
Anubispossible decider
58%50%
Oramond · 8 mapsedge Oramond +8%CYBERSHOKE · 2 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE ban
50%29%
Oramond · 2 mapsedge Oramond +21%CYBERSHOKE · 3 maps
NukeOramond ban
43%60%
Oramond · 3 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +17%CYBERSHOKE · 1 map
DefaultCYBERSHOKE ban
50%50%
Oramond · 2 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOramond remove Ancient
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Overpass
3. PickOramond take Mirage
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Default
6. BanOramond remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (58% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Oramond 69%CYBERSHOKE 31%
The model gave 69% on Oramond — the map was taken by Oramond.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
Oramond 26%CYBERSHOKE 74%
The model gave 74% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Overpassprediction correct16:13
Oramond 71%CYBERSHOKE 29%
The model gave 71% on Oramond — the map was taken by Oramond.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 61%
Series resultOramond 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3