CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN Academy ban
33%50%
paiN Academy · 5 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 0 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
56%50%
paiN Academy · 5 mapsedge paiN Academy +6%ALKA · 0 maps
OverpassALKA pick
50%60%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 1 map
AnubisALKA ban
50%50%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 0 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
60%60%
paiN Academy · 1 mapnearly even +0%ALKA · 1 map
InfernoALKA ban
60%50%
paiN Academy · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +10%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. BanALKA remove Inferno
3. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
4. PickALKA take Overpass
5. BanALKA remove Anubis
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
paiN Academy 58%ALKA 42%
The model gave 58% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by ALKA.
Nukeprediction correct4:13
paiN Academy 47%ALKA 53%
The model gave 53% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 50%
Series resultALKA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2