CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragepaiN Academy pick
50%60%
paiN Academy · 10 mapsedge ALKA +10%ALKA · 1 map
Dust2paiN Academy ban
33%50%
paiN Academy · 8 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 0 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
43%63%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge ALKA +20%ALKA · 4 maps
AnubisALKA ban
56%40%
paiN Academy · 5 mapsedge paiN Academy +16%ALKA · 1 map
OverpassALKA pick
43%60%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 1 map
InfernoALKA ban
71%50%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +21%ALKA · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
paiN Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. BanALKA remove Inferno
3. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
4. PickALKA take Overpass
5. BanALKA remove Anubis
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
paiN Academy 50%ALKA 50%
The model gave 50% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Mirageprediction correct3:13
paiN Academy 43%ALKA 57%
The model gave 57% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
paiN Academy 71%ALKA 29%
The model gave 71% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 58%
Series resultALKA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3