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CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 1:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Blitzkrieg#232 in the world · loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Blitzkrieg pick
41%20%
paiN Academy · 13 mapsedge paiN Academy +21%Blitzkrieg · 6 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
44%29%
paiN Academy · 14 mapsedge paiN Academy +15%Blitzkrieg · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
54%40%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge paiN Academy +14%Blitzkrieg · 1 map
NukeBlitzkrieg ban
40%33%
paiN Academy · 6 mapsedge paiN Academy +7%Blitzkrieg · 2 maps
InfernoBlitzkrieg ban
60%50%
paiN Academy · 6 mapsedge paiN Academy +10%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
DefaultpaiN Academy ban
57%60%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Blitzkrieg · 1 map
AncientpaiN Academy ban
40%33%
paiN Academy · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +7%Blitzkrieg · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
2. BanBlitzkrieg remove Inferno
3. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
4. PickBlitzkrieg take Dust2
5. BanBlitzkrieg remove Nuke
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Default
DeciderAnubis (54% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
paiN Academy 47%Blitzkrieg 53%
The model gave 53% on Blitzkrieg — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 66%
Series resultpaiN Academy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1