CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
43%50%
paiN Academy · 10 mapsedge Peladona +7%Peladona · 0 maps
MiragePeladona ban
46%50%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Peladona · 0 maps
CachepaiN Academy ban
42%50%
paiN Academy · 8 mapsedge Peladona +8%Peladona · 0 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
42%50%
paiN Academy · 8 mapsedge Peladona +8%Peladona · 0 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
55%50%
paiN Academy · 7 mapsedge paiN Academy +5%Peladona · 0 maps
InfernoPeladona pick
33%50%
paiN Academy · 5 mapsedge Peladona +17%Peladona · 0 maps
DefaultPeladona ban
71%50%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +21%Peladona · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. BanPeladona remove Default
3. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
4. PickPeladona take Inferno
5. BanPeladona remove Mirage
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
paiN Academy 40%Peladona 60%
The model gave 60% on Peladona — the map was taken by Peladona.
Mirageprediction correct14:16
paiN Academy 49%Peladona 51%
The model gave 51% on Peladona — the map was taken by Peladona.
Model check result
Model favoritePeladona · 57%
Series resultPeladona 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2