IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN#29 in the world · win 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FaZe#14 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientpaiN pick
50%29%
paiN · 0 mapsedge paiN +21%FaZe · 3 maps
Dust2FaZe pick
50%57%
paiN · 0 mapsedge FaZe +7%FaZe · 3 maps
MirageFaZe ban
50%50%
paiN · 0 mapsnearly even +0%FaZe · 2 maps
AnubisFaZe ban
50%40%
paiN · 0 mapsedge paiN +10%FaZe · 1 map
NukepaiN ban
50%60%
paiN · 0 mapsedge FaZe +10%FaZe · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN remove Nuke
2. BanFaZe remove Mirage
3. PickpaiN take Ancient
4. PickFaZe take Dust2
5. BanFaZe remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
paiN 40%FaZe 60%
The model gave 60% on FaZe — the map was taken by paiN.
Anubisprediction correct13:8
paiN 63%FaZe 37%
The model gave 63% on paiN — the map was taken by paiN.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 69%
Series resultpaiN 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2