1xBet FRAG Season 18 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2
60%60%
PAQT · 1 mapnearly even +0%VISION · 1 map
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
PAQT 53%VISION 47%
The model gave 53% on PAQT — the map was taken by PAQT.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
PAQT 47%VISION 53%
The model gave 53% on VISION — the map was taken by PAQT.
Model check result
Model favoritePAQT · 50%
Series resultPAQT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2