XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISION#11 in the world · win 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BIG#27 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPARIVISION pick
50%64%
PARIVISION · 8 mapsedge BIG +14%BIG · 7 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%42%
PARIVISION · 6 mapsedge PARIVISION +8%BIG · 8 maps
Dust2BIG ban
64%50%
PARIVISION · 7 mapsedge PARIVISION +14%BIG · 2 maps
InfernoBIG pick
25%56%
PARIVISION · 4 mapsedge BIG +31%BIG · 5 maps
OverpassPARIVISION ban
40%38%
PARIVISION · 1 mapnearly even +2%BIG · 4 maps
AnubisBIG ban
33%50%
PARIVISION · 2 mapsedge BIG +17%BIG · 2 maps
NukePARIVISION ban
50%43%
PARIVISION · 0 mapsedge PARIVISION +7%BIG · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPARIVISION remove Nuke
2. BanBIG remove Dust2
3. PickPARIVISION take Ancient
4. PickBIG take Inferno
5. BanBIG remove Anubis
6. BanPARIVISION remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (50% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct15:19
PARIVISION 47%BIG 53%
The model gave 53% on BIG — the map was taken by BIG.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
PARIVISION 61%BIG 39%
The model gave 61% on PARIVISION — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
PARIVISION 36%BIG 64%
The model gave 64% on BIG — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 56%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3