Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Partizan#141 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Orion Wanderersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientOrion Wanderers pick
40%50%
Partizan · 1 mapedge Orion Wanderers +10%Orion Wanderers · 0 maps
Dust2Partizan pick
50%40%
Partizan · 0 mapsedge Partizan +10%Orion Wanderers · 1 map
InfernoOrion Wanderers ban
40%50%
Partizan · 1 mapedge Orion Wanderers +10%Orion Wanderers · 0 maps
NukePartizan ban
50%40%
Partizan · 0 mapsedge Partizan +10%Orion Wanderers · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPartizan remove Nuke
2. BanOrion Wanderers remove Inferno
3. PickPartizan take Dust2
4. PickOrion Wanderers take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
Partizan 37%Orion Wanderers 63%
The model gave 63% on Orion Wanderers — the map was taken by Partizan.
Anubisprediction correct16:14
Partizan 53%Orion Wanderers 47%
The model gave 53% on Partizan — the map was taken by Partizan.
Model check result
Model favoritePartizan · 50%
Series resultPartizan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2