BC Game Masters Championship Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Passion UA#33 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Metizport#52 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePassion UA ban
33%50%
Passion UA · 5 mapsedge Metizport +17%Metizport · 0 maps
Dust2Metizport ban
63%50%
Passion UA · 4 mapsedge Passion UA +13%Metizport · 0 maps
InfernoMetizport ban
57%50%
Passion UA · 3 mapsedge Passion UA +7%Metizport · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%50%
Passion UA · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Metizport · 0 maps
AnubisPassion UA ban
40%50%
Passion UA · 1 mapedge Metizport +10%Metizport · 0 maps
NukePassion UA ban
40%50%
Passion UA · 1 mapedge Metizport +10%Metizport · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPassion UA remove Nuke
2. BanMetizport remove Dust2
3. BanPassion UA remove Mirage
4. BanMetizport remove Inferno
5. BanPassion UA remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Passion UA 50%Metizport 50%
The model gave 50% on Passion UA — the map was taken by Metizport.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 76%
Series resultMetizport 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1