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IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UA#35 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
SINNERS#31 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Passion UA 53%SINNERS 47%
The model gave 53% on Passion UA — the map was taken by Passion UA.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Passion UA 47%SINNERS 53%
The model gave 53% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Overpassprediction missed8:13
Passion UA 50%SINNERS 50%
The model gave 50% on Passion UA — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 50%
Series resultSINNERS 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3