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CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Patins da Ferrari#154 in the world · win 1:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBESTIA Academy pick
60%45%
Patins da Ferrari · 1 mapedge Patins da Ferrari +15%BESTIA Academy · 7 maps
InfernoPatins da Ferrari ban
50%55%
Patins da Ferrari · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +5%BESTIA Academy · 7 maps
Dust2BESTIA Academy ban
50%30%
Patins da Ferrari · 0 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +20%BESTIA Academy · 6 maps
MiragePatins da Ferrari pick
67%57%
Patins da Ferrari · 2 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +10%BESTIA Academy · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%57%
Patins da Ferrari · 2 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +7%BESTIA Academy · 3 maps
DefaultPatins da Ferrari ban
50%67%
Patins da Ferrari · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +17%BESTIA Academy · 2 maps
OverpassBESTIA Academy ban
50%40%
Patins da Ferrari · 0 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +10%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Inferno
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Overpass
3. PickPatins da Ferrari take Mirage
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Ancient
5. BanBESTIA Academy remove Dust2
6. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Default
DeciderNuke (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Patins da Ferrari 33%BESTIA Academy 67%
The model gave 67% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by Patins da Ferrari.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA Academy · 57%
Series resultPatins da Ferrari 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1