CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
PCIFIC#120 in the world · win 1:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
6yuBoJlbl#168 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PCIFIC pick
58%63%
PCIFIC · 27 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +5%6yuBoJlbl · 4 maps
NukePCIFIC ban
41%40%
PCIFIC · 18 mapsnearly even +1%6yuBoJlbl · 1 map
Anubis6yuBoJlbl ban
25%50%
PCIFIC · 12 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +25%6yuBoJlbl · 0 maps
Inferno6yuBoJlbl ban
50%33%
PCIFIC · 10 mapsedge PCIFIC +17%6yuBoJlbl · 2 maps
Mirage6yuBoJlbl pick
50%67%
PCIFIC · 10 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +17%6yuBoJlbl · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
69%60%
PCIFIC · 9 mapsedge PCIFIC +9%6yuBoJlbl · 1 map
AncientPCIFIC ban
50%60%
PCIFIC · 0 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +10%6yuBoJlbl · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPCIFIC remove Ancient
2. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Anubis
3. PickPCIFIC take Dust2
4. Pick6yuBoJlbl take Mirage
5. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Inferno
6. BanPCIFIC remove Nuke
DeciderCache (69% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
PCIFIC 50%6yuBoJlbl 50%
The model gave 50% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by PCIFIC.
Model check result
Model favorite6yuBoJlbl · 53%
Series resultPCIFIC 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1