CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
PCIFIC#120 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Illyrians#126 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PCIFIC pick
58%47%
PCIFIC · 27 mapsedge PCIFIC +11%Illyrians · 15 maps
MirageIllyrians pick
50%59%
PCIFIC · 10 mapsedge Illyrians +9%Illyrians · 18 maps
NukeIllyrians ban
41%40%
PCIFIC · 18 mapsnearly even +1%Illyrians · 1 map
AnubisPCIFIC ban
25%67%
PCIFIC · 12 mapsedge Illyrians +42%Illyrians · 5 maps
Cachepossible decider
69%67%
PCIFIC · 9 mapsnearly even +2%Illyrians · 8 maps
InfernoIllyrians ban
50%50%
PCIFIC · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Illyrians · 2 maps
AncientPCIFIC ban
50%54%
PCIFIC · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Illyrians · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPCIFIC remove Ancient
2. BanIllyrians remove Nuke
3. PickPCIFIC take Dust2
4. PickIllyrians take Mirage
5. BanIllyrians remove Inferno
6. BanPCIFIC remove Anubis
DeciderCache (69% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
PCIFIC 38%Illyrians 62%
The model gave 62% on Illyrians — the map was taken by PCIFIC.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
PCIFIC 63%Illyrians 37%
The model gave 63% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Anubisprediction correct4:13
PCIFIC 14%Illyrians 86%
The model gave 86% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Model check result
Model favoritePCIFIC · 61%
Series resultIllyrians 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3