CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Permitta#103 in the world · win 2:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Permitta ban
50%44%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge Permitta +6%HAVU · 5 maps
MirageHAVU ban
50%33%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge Permitta +17%HAVU · 5 maps
NukePermitta ban
50%78%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge HAVU +28%HAVU · 5 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
50%43%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge Permitta +7%HAVU · 3 maps
OverpassPermitta pick
50%33%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge Permitta +17%HAVU · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%40%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge Permitta +10%HAVU · 1 map
CacheHAVU pick
50%40%
Permitta · 0 mapsedge Permitta +10%HAVU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPermitta remove Nuke
2. BanHAVU remove Inferno
3. PickPermitta take Overpass
4. PickHAVU take Cache
5. BanHAVU remove Mirage
6. BanPermitta remove Dust2
DeciderAnubis (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
Permitta 53%HAVU 47%
The model gave 53% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Nukeprediction correct17:19
Permitta 20%HAVU 80%
The model gave 80% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Cacheprediction correct13:8
Permitta 60%HAVU 40%
The model gave 60% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 53%
Series resultPermitta 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3