CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom Academy#182 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Misa#124 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
50%42%
Phantom Academy · 2 mapsedge Phantom Academy +8%Misa · 29 maps
MirageMisa ban
75%38%
Phantom Academy · 8 mapsedge Phantom Academy +37%Misa · 17 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
60%48%
Phantom Academy · 1 mapedge Phantom Academy +12%Misa · 21 map
CacheMisa ban
43%35%
Phantom Academy · 3 mapsedge Phantom Academy +8%Misa · 16 maps
NukePhantom Academy pick
71%44%
Phantom Academy · 3 mapsedge Phantom Academy +27%Misa · 14 maps
InfernoPhantom Academy ban
50%53%
Phantom Academy · 0 mapsnearly even -3%Misa · 11 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%36%
Phantom Academy · 3 mapsedge Phantom Academy +7%Misa · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom Academy remove Inferno
2. BanMisa remove Mirage
3. PickPhantom Academy take Nuke
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Cache
6. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (43% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
Phantom Academy 55%Misa 45%
The model gave 55% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Misa.
Nukeprediction missed9:13
Phantom Academy 78%Misa 22%
The model gave 78% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 59%
Series resultMisa 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2