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CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom#88 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Phantom pick
67%67%
Phantom · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 8 maps
MirageBushido Wildcats pick
43%63%
Phantom · 10 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +20%Bushido Wildcats · 4 maps
NukeBushido Wildcats ban
50%33%
Phantom · 8 mapsedge Phantom +17%Bushido Wildcats · 2 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%57%
Phantom · 4 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +7%Bushido Wildcats · 3 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
44%50%
Phantom · 5 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +6%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
AnubisPhantom ban
50%43%
Phantom · 0 mapsedge Phantom +7%Bushido Wildcats · 3 maps
InfernoPhantom ban
50%50%
Phantom · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Inferno
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickPhantom take Dust2
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Mirage
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Nuke
6. BanPhantom remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct16:14
Phantom 69%Bushido Wildcats 31%
The model gave 69% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
Phantom 29%Bushido Wildcats 71%
The model gave 71% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 69%
Series resultPhantom 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2