Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom#87 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:2
JiJieHao#47 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientJiJieHao pick
61%67%
Phantom · 14 mapsedge JiJieHao +6%JiJieHao · 11 maps
Dust2Phantom pick
53%30%
Phantom · 13 mapsedge Phantom +23%JiJieHao · 6 maps
MiragePhantom ban
40%70%
Phantom · 11 mapsedge JiJieHao +30%JiJieHao · 6 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
59%40%
Phantom · 13 mapsedge Phantom +19%JiJieHao · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
71%69%
Phantom · 3 mapsnearly even +2%JiJieHao · 9 maps
OverpassJiJieHao ban
67%40%
Phantom · 8 mapsedge Phantom +27%JiJieHao · 1 map
AnubisPhantom ban
50%43%
Phantom · 4 mapsedge Phantom +7%JiJieHao · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Mirage
2. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
3. PickPhantom take Dust2
4. PickJiJieHao take Ancient
5. BanJiJieHao remove Overpass
6. BanPhantom remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (71% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed11:13
Phantom 60%JiJieHao 40%
The model gave 60% on Phantom — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
Phantom 50%JiJieHao 50%
The model gave 50% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by Phantom.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
Phantom 44%JiJieHao 56%
The model gave 56% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 80%
Series resultJiJieHao 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3