CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom#87 in the world · win 2:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Leo#89 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Phantom ban
54%55%
Phantom · 9 mapsnearly even -1%Leo · 25 maps
AncientPhantom pick
55%50%
Phantom · 16 mapsedge Phantom +5%Leo · 16 maps
NukeLeo pick
57%76%
Phantom · 10 mapsedge Leo +19%Leo · 13 maps
AnubisLeo ban
44%33%
Phantom · 5 mapsedge Phantom +11%Leo · 11 maps
MiragePhantom ban
36%45%
Phantom · 7 mapsedge Leo +9%Leo · 7 maps
OverpassLeo ban
78%50%
Phantom · 5 mapsedge Phantom +28%Leo · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
40%43%
Phantom · 1 mapnearly even -3%Leo · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Mirage
2. BanLeo remove Overpass
3. PickPhantom take Ancient
4. PickLeo take Nuke
5. BanLeo remove Anubis
6. BanPhantom remove Dust2
DeciderCache (40% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
Phantom 27%Leo 73%
The model gave 73% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Ancientprediction correct13:0
Phantom 58%Leo 42%
The model gave 58% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
Phantom 62%Leo 38%
The model gave 62% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 70%
Series resultPhantom 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3