CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GUARA#234 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoGUARA ban
57%33%
Players · 3 mapsedge Players +24%GUARA · 2 maps
NukePlayers ban
43%33%
Players · 3 mapsedge Players +10%GUARA · 2 maps
Dust2GUARA ban
60%29%
Players · 1 mapedge Players +31%GUARA · 3 maps
MiragePlayers pick
43%40%
Players · 3 mapsnearly even +3%GUARA · 1 map
AncientPlayers ban
43%50%
Players · 3 mapsedge GUARA +7%GUARA · 0 maps
DefaultGUARA pick
33%50%
Players · 2 mapsedge GUARA +17%GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPlayers remove Ancient
2. BanGUARA remove Dust2
3. PickPlayers take Mirage
4. PickGUARA take Default
5. BanGUARA remove Inferno
6. BanPlayers remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Players 33%GUARA 67%
The model gave 67% on GUARA — the map was taken by GUARA.
Model check result
Model favoritePlayers · 50%
Series resultGUARA 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1