?
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Privateer#226 in the world · loss 0:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:1
eternal premium#208 in the world · win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePrivateer pick
33%50%
Privateer · 14 mapsedge eternal premium +17%eternal premium · 2 maps
MiragePrivateer ban
30%46%
Privateer · 6 mapsedge eternal premium +16%eternal premium · 9 maps
Ancienteternal premium pick
33%67%
Privateer · 8 mapsedge eternal premium +34%eternal premium · 5 maps
Dust2eternal premium ban
29%29%
Privateer · 10 mapsnearly even +0%eternal premium · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
25%38%
Privateer · 4 mapsedge eternal premium +13%eternal premium · 4 maps
AnubisPrivateer ban
50%44%
Privateer · 0 mapsedge Privateer +6%eternal premium · 5 maps
Infernoeternal premium ban
67%33%
Privateer · 2 mapsedge Privateer +34%eternal premium · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPrivateer remove Anubis
2. Baneternal premium remove Inferno
3. PickPrivateer take Nuke
4. Picketernal premium take Ancient
5. Baneternal premium remove Dust2
6. BanPrivateer remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (25% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Privateer 39%eternal premium 61%
The model gave 61% on eternal premium — the map was taken by eternal premium.
Model check result
Model favoriteeternal premium · 61%
Series resulteternal premium 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1