CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Privateer#226 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
50%55%
Privateer · 2 mapsedge Misa +5%Misa · 25 maps
MirageMisa ban
50%45%
Privateer · 2 mapsedge Privateer +5%Misa · 16 maps
NukeMisa ban
50%47%
Privateer · 4 mapsnearly even +3%Misa · 11 maps
AnubisPrivateer ban
50%44%
Privateer · 0 mapsedge Privateer +6%Misa · 12 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%46%
Privateer · 1 mapedge Privateer +14%Misa · 9 maps
CachePrivateer ban
40%50%
Privateer · 1 mapedge Misa +10%Misa · 4 maps
DefaultPrivateer pick
50%50%
Privateer · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Misa · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPrivateer remove Anubis
2. BanMisa remove Nuke
3. PickPrivateer take Default
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Mirage
6. BanPrivateer remove Cache
DeciderInferno (60% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Privateer 42%Misa 58%
The model gave 58% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
Privateer 56%Misa 44%
The model gave 56% on Privateer — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 53%
Series resultMisa 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2