CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon ban
36%50%
Procyon · 10 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +14%MEIA NOITE · 4 maps
MirageProcyon pick
67%42%
Procyon · 5 mapsedge Procyon +25%MEIA NOITE · 8 maps
AncientProcyon ban
44%33%
Procyon · 5 mapsedge Procyon +11%MEIA NOITE · 5 maps
InfernoMEIA NOITE pick
50%67%
Procyon · 6 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +17%MEIA NOITE · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%71%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +21%MEIA NOITE · 3 maps
NukeMEIA NOITE ban
38%40%
Procyon · 4 mapsnearly even -2%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
AnubisMEIA NOITE ban
50%50%
Procyon · 4 mapsnearly even +0%MEIA NOITE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Dust2
2. BanMEIA NOITE remove Anubis
3. PickProcyon take Mirage
4. PickMEIA NOITE take Inferno
5. BanMEIA NOITE remove Nuke
6. BanProcyon remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
Procyon 59%MEIA NOITE 41%
The model gave 59% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Infernoprediction missed13:2
Procyon 36%MEIA NOITE 64%
The model gave 64% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteProcyon · 56%
Series resultProcyon 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2