CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Project 91#160 in the world · win 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW#61 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeSAW ban
40%33%
Project 91 · 1 mapedge Project 91 +7%SAW · 2 maps
AncientProject 91 pick
60%40%
Project 91 · 1 mapedge Project 91 +20%SAW · 1 map
InfernoSAW pick
40%60%
Project 91 · 1 mapedge SAW +20%SAW · 1 map
Dust2Project 91 ban
50%40%
Project 91 · 0 mapsedge Project 91 +10%SAW · 1 map
MirageSAW ban
50%40%
Project 91 · 0 mapsedge Project 91 +10%SAW · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProject 91 remove Dust2
2. BanSAW remove Mirage
3. PickProject 91 take Ancient
4. PickSAW take Inferno
5. BanSAW remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Project 91 57%SAW 43%
The model gave 57% on Project 91 — the map was taken by SAW.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
Project 91 72%SAW 28%
The model gave 72% on Project 91 — the map was taken by Project 91.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Project 91 60%SAW 40%
The model gave 60% on Project 91 — the map was taken by Project 91.
Model check result
Model favoriteProject 91 · 51%
Series resultProject 91 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3