CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
54%53%
PsychoFace · 9 mapsnearly even +1%Just Players · 30 maps
Dust2PsychoFace pick
56%37%
PsychoFace · 12 mapsedge PsychoFace +19%Just Players · 23 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
40%62%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge Just Players +22%Just Players · 22 maps
Nukepossible decider
30%39%
PsychoFace · 6 mapsedge Just Players +9%Just Players · 14 maps
CacheJust Players ban
50%33%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsedge PsychoFace +17%Just Players · 8 maps
AnubisJust Players ban
50%45%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsedge PsychoFace +5%Just Players · 7 maps
DefaultPsychoFace ban
50%64%
PsychoFace · 0 mapsedge Just Players +14%Just Players · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
2. BanJust Players remove Cache
3. PickPsychoFace take Dust2
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Anubis
6. BanPsychoFace remove Default
DeciderNuke (30% / 39%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
PsychoFace 48%Just Players 52%
The model gave 52% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
PsychoFace 43%Just Players 57%
The model gave 57% on Just Players — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
PsychoFace 69%Just Players 31%
The model gave 69% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 59%
Series resultJust Players 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3