CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ursa#88 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PsychoFace pick
60%67%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge Ursa +7%Ursa · 2 maps
InfernoPsychoFace ban
50%43%
PsychoFace · 0 mapsedge PsychoFace +7%Ursa · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%50%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge PsychoFace +10%Ursa · 2 maps
OverpassUrsa ban
60%50%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge PsychoFace +10%Ursa · 2 maps
DefaultUrsa pick
50%50%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Ursa · 0 maps
AnubisPsychoFace ban
40%50%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge Ursa +10%Ursa · 0 maps
NukeUrsa ban
50%40%
PsychoFace · 0 mapsedge PsychoFace +10%Ursa · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPsychoFace remove Inferno
2. BanUrsa remove Overpass
3. PickPsychoFace take Dust2
4. PickUrsa take Default
5. BanUrsa remove Nuke
6. BanPsychoFace remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:2
PsychoFace 63%Ursa 37%
The model gave 63% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
PsychoFace 40%Ursa 60%
The model gave 60% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
PsychoFace 60%Ursa 40%
The model gave 60% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by Ursa.
Model check result
Model favoritePsychoFace · 53%
Series resultUrsa 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3