FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
PURE#126 in the world · win 13:4series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 13:4
ABT#124 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageABT ban
40%50%
PURE · 6 mapsedge ABT +10%ABT · 0 maps
AncientPURE ban
50%57%
PURE · 2 mapsedge ABT +7%ABT · 3 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%50%
PURE · 3 mapsedge PURE +7%ABT · 2 maps
AnubisPURE ban
50%50%
PURE · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ABT · 4 maps
NukeABT ban
50%33%
PURE · 2 mapsedge PURE +17%ABT · 2 maps
CacheABT ban
57%50%
PURE · 3 mapsedge PURE +7%ABT · 0 maps
Dust2PURE ban
57%50%
PURE · 3 mapsedge PURE +7%ABT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPURE remove Anubis
2. BanABT remove Cache
3. BanPURE remove Dust2
4. BanABT remove Mirage
5. BanPURE remove Ancient
6. BanABT remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
PURE 57%ABT 43%
The model gave 57% on PURE — the map was taken by PURE.
Model check result
Model favoriteABT · 62%
Series resultPURE 13:4
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1